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    王佩瓊¹，湯煜東¹，湯躍超²
    （1 華北（北京）電力大學(xué)，北京102206;2北京巨能通用技術(shù)有限責(zé)任公司，北京100038)

[摘要] 主要提出借鑒大尺度三維數(shù)值分析方法，開發(fā)建立以地殼為主要研究對(duì)象的三維地殼數(shù)值計(jì)算模型和計(jì)算技術(shù)，進(jìn)行地殼大尺度應(yīng)力、應(yīng)變能動(dòng)態(tài)分析計(jì)算，找出應(yīng)力和應(yīng)變能高度集中區(qū)，配合物探和鉆探進(jìn)行淺層校核，結(jié)合歷史地震經(jīng)驗(yàn)，進(jìn)行地震可能發(fā)生區(qū)域、時(shí)域的預(yù)測(cè)預(yù)報(bào)。
[關(guān)鍵詞] 地震；區(qū)域；時(shí)域；預(yù)測(cè)；地殼；三維數(shù)值分析；地質(zhì)介質(zhì)；強(qiáng)度；應(yīng)變能

Violent earthquake's region and time domain forecast technique discussion and the reservoir induced earthquake research technique discusses
Wang Peiqiong¹, Tang Yudong¹, Tang Yuechao²
(1 North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China; 2 Beijing Juneng General Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing  100038, China)

Abstract: Three dimensional earth's crust numerical simulation model and the computation technology for the study of the earth's crust movement were established, using the big-dimension forecast numerical analysis method. The simulation calculation was made for the earth's crust stress and the strain energy dynamic analysis. The aim of the research is to forecast the region and time of earthquake by using the simulation analysis to find the concentration area of stress and the strain energy, comparing with the result of the geophysical prospecting and drilling, and checking the historic record of the earthquake.
Keywords: seismological; zone; forecast; earth's crust; three dimensional numerical analysis; geology dielectric; strength; strain energy